EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Oct 10, 2023 at 7pm UK

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Reading
5 - 0
Swindon

Knibbs (19', 45+2', 49' pen.), Mukairu (90+4'), Dean (90+6')
Craig (23'), Holmes (27'), Knibbs (39')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Shade (31'), Hutt (90+3')

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Reading and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-1 Reading
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Swindon Town

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Swindon
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Reading had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Reading win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Reading	Draw	Swindon Town
34.73% ( 1.96)	24.73% ( 0.25)	40.54% ( -2.21)

Both teams to score 58.43% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.33% (

-0.65)

44.67% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.97% (

-0.63)

67.04% (

0.63)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.93% (

0.85)

25.08% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.24% (

1.16)

59.76% (

-1.15)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.99% (

-1.31)

22.01% (

1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.67% (

-2.02)

55.33% (

2.03)

Score Analysis

Reading 34.73%

Swindon Town 40.54%

Draw 24.73%

Reading	Draw	Swindon Town
2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.67% Total : 34.73%	1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.73%	1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.24) 0-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.54%