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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 36.48% ( | 24.93% ( | 38.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.65% ( | 45.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.31% ( | 67.68% ( |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% ( | 24.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.17% ( | 58.83% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.71% ( | 23.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.78% ( | 57.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 1-0 @ 8.02% ( 2-0 @ 5.65% ( 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 4-2 @ 1% ( 4-0 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 36.48% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 2-2 @ 6% ( 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0-1 @ 8.28% ( 0-2 @ 6.04% ( 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 2-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 38.59% |