League One

League One | Gameweek 21

Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
3 - 0
Oxford Utd

Kyprianou (23'), Jade-Jones (34'), De Havilland (90+2')
Kioso (60')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bodin (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Arsenal U21s
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Forest Green 0-1 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, December 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Oxford United
53.45% ( 0.06)	22.26% ( -0.03)	24.28% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 60.15% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.66% (

0.08)

39.34% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.32% (

0.09)

61.68% (

-0.09)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.22% (

0.05)

14.77% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.97% (

0.09)

43.02% (

-0.09)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.58% (

0.02)

29.41% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.59% (

0.02)

65.41% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 53.45%

Oxford United 24.29%

Draw 22.25%

Peterborough United	Draw	Oxford United
2-1 @ 9.72% 1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 53.45%	1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.25%	1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 24.29%