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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 29.87% ( | 24.05% ( | 46.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.71% ( | 43.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.32% ( | 65.68% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% ( | 27.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.12% ( | 62.88% ( |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% ( | 18.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.51% ( | 50.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 1-0 @ 6.73% ( 2-0 @ 4.35% ( 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 4-1 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.87% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 3-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0-2 @ 7.18% ( 1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0-3 @ 3.98% ( 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0-4 @ 1.66% ( 2-4 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 3.3% Total : 46.08% |