Peterborough United
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Salford City

Peterborough
2 - 2
Salford City

Jade-Jones (47'), Fernandez (90+3')
Katongo (7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mallan (5'), Sturge (69' og.)
Garbutt (36'), N'Mai (81'), (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Peterborough United and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 4-3 Man Utd U21s
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 58.06%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 21.38% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.89%) and 1-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (5.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawSalford City
58.06% (0.055 0.05)20.56%21.38% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 62.35% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.27% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)34.73% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.31% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)56.69% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.15% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)11.85% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.87% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)37.13% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)29.27% (0.089000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (-0.108 -0.11)65.23% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 58.06%
    Salford City 21.38%
    Draw 20.56%
Peterborough UnitedDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.4% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.61% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.67%
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 58.06%
1-1 @ 9.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.47% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.56%
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 21.38%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Salford City

Peterborough United
90.0%
Draw
0.0%
Salford City
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2022 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Salford City
0-3
Peterborough
Mason-Clark (39'), Marriott (78', 83')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm