League Two Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Poolfoot Farm
  • Elliot Lee 39' goal
  • James Jones 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Eoghan O'Connell 75' yellowcard
  • Paul Mullin 80' yellowcard
  • Steven Fletcher 88' goal
  • Jordan Davies 89' goal
  • goal Matt Smith 15'
  • goal Matt Smith 36'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ingram 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Curtis Tilt 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Liam Shephard 60'
  • yellowcard Luke Bolton 81'

Wrexham vs Salford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
Crawley 0 - 1 Wrexham
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Paul Mullin

Salford City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
Salford City 4 - 2 Crewe
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Matt Smith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result

Wrexham 56.79% (+0.01)
Draw 21.07% (-0.01)
Salford City 22.13% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.6% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.8% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 36.19% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 41.69% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 58.31% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 23.51% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 76.48% (-0.05)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 87.32% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 12.68% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 61.13% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 38.86% (-0.04)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5 70.55% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 29.45% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 34.54% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 65.45% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Wrexham 56.79%
Draw 21.07%
Salford City 22.13%
Wrexham
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.71% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.7% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.1% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.46% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.83%
4-2 @ 2.12% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.43% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 56.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.43% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.73% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.67% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.07%
Salford City
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-1 @ 4.57% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 22.13%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 33
Jan 1, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Peninsula Stadium (Salford, Greater Manchester)
  • Matt Green 23' goal
  • Rory Gaffney 60' goal
  • yellowcard Shaun Pearson 51'
  • yellowcard Luke Young 70'
National League Gameweek 31
Dec 26, 2018 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT Racecourse Ground (Wrexham (Wrecsam))
  • Shaun Pearson 3' goal
  • Akil Wright 24' goal
  • Brad Walker 45' goal
  • Ben Tollitt 86' goal
  • Chris Holroyd 90' goal
  • yellowcard Nathan Pond 45'
  • yellowcard Carl Piergianni 47'
  • yellowcard Gus Mafuta 64'
  • yellowcard Tom Walker 73'
  • yellowcard Ibou Touray 75'
  • goal Danny Whitehead 90'
  • redcard Tom Walker 90'