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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Salford City

Wrexham
3 - 2
Salford City

Lee (39'), Fletcher (88'), Davies (89')
Jones (45+2'), O'Connell (75'), Mullin (80')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Smith (15', 36')
Ingram (45+1'), Tilt (45+2'), Shephard (60'), Bolton (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 1-3 Stockport
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Salford City

There is still an awful lot of football to be played this season, but this feels like a very big football match for a number of reasons. Salford will be looking to flex their muscles, but Wrexham are in a good place at the moment, and we are expecting the home side to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawSalford City
56.79% (0.0040000000000049 0) 21.07% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 22.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 61.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.8% (0.045999999999999 0.05)36.19% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.69% (0.050999999999995 0.05)58.31% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.32% (0.016999999999996 0.02)12.68% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.13% (0.033000000000001 0.03)38.86% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55% (0.031000000000006 0.03)29.45% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (0.039000000000001 0.04)65.45% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 56.79%
    Salford City 22.13%
    Draw 21.07%
WrexhamDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 4.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.46% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.83%
4-2 @ 2.12% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 56.79%
1-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.73% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.07%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-1 @ 4.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 22.13%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Salford City

Wrexham
52.9%
Draw
35.3%
Salford City
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Salford City
2-0
Wrexham
Green (23'), Gaffney (60')

Pearson (51'), Young (70')
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 31
Wrexham
5-1
Salford City
Pearson (3'), Wright (24'), Walker (45'), Tollitt (86'), Holroyd (90')
Whitehead (90')
Pond (45'), Piergianni (47'), Mafuta (64'), Walker (73'), Touray (75')
Walker (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539


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