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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 66.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 14.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 66.43% ( | 18.69% ( | 14.89% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.85% ( | 37.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.65% ( | 59.36% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.62% ( | 10.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.1% ( | 33.91% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.3% ( | 37.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.52% ( | 74.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 2-0 @ 10.04% ( 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 3-0 @ 7.58% ( 3-1 @ 7.4% 4-0 @ 4.29% ( 4-1 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 5-0 @ 1.94% ( 5-1 @ 1.9% ( 5-2 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.85% Total : 66.42% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.69% | 1-2 @ 4.22% ( 0-1 @ 3.82% ( 0-2 @ 1.86% ( 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 1-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 14.89% |