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Championship header 2

League Two

Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Crawley
0 - 1
Wrexham


Wright (70'), Gordon (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Palmer (13')
Palmer (33'), Mendy (43'), McClean (45+1'), Hayden (76'), Fletcher (82'), O'Connor (90+7')
Cannon (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 2-0 Crawley
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawWrexham
39.79% (0.169 0.17)23.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)36.43% (-0.162 -0.16)
Both teams to score 62.24% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.17% (0.022999999999996 0.02)39.83% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.81% (0.024000000000001 0.02)62.19% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72% (0.088999999999999 0.09)20.28% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.36% (0.143 0.14)52.64% (-0.145 -0.15)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.07% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)21.92% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.8% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)55.19% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 39.79%
    Wrexham 36.43%
    Draw 23.77%
Crawley TownDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.09% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.66% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 39.79%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.3% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 36.43%

How you voted: Crawley vs Wrexham

Crawley Town
33.3%
Draw
41.7%
Wrexham
25.0%
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