EFL Trophy
Oct 10, 2023 7.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Charlie Colkett 33' yellowcard
  • Luke Offord 72' redcard
  • goal Luke Offord 5' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jordan Davies 11'
  • goal Jordan Davies 13'
  • goal Luke Young 73'

Crewe Alexandra vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 5, 2023 7.45pm
Port Vale 1 - 0 Crewe

Wrexham

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 5, 2023 7.30pm
Wrexham 1 - 0 Newcastle U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result

Crewe Alexandra 30.46% (+0.01)
Draw 23.94%
Wrexham 45.6% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.55% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.5%
Under 2.5 42.49% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 35.1% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 64.9% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 18.34% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 81.66% (+0.01)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5 73.37% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 26.62%
Over 1.5 38.14%
Under 1.5 61.85%

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 81.15% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 18.85% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 49.7% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 50.3% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Crewe Alexandra 30.46%
Draw 23.94%
Wrexham 45.6%
Crewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 7.33% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.64% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.39% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.7%
3-0 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 30.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.12%
0-0 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.94%
Wrexham
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.37%
0-2 @ 6.99%
1-3 @ 5.14%
0-3 @ 3.89%
2-3 @ 3.4%
1-4 @ 2.15%
0-4 @ 1.62%
2-4 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 45.6%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Poolfoot Farm
  • Ollie Palmer 11' yellowcard
  • Phil Parkinson 12' yellowcard
  • Ryan Barnett 36' redcard
  • Paul Mullin 40' goal
  • Paul Mullin 47' goal
  • James McClean 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Will Boyle 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Paul Mullin 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Steven Fletcher 90'+5' goal
  • goal Mickey Demetriou 24'
  • yellowcard Shilow Tracey 33'
  • goal Chris Long 45'+5'
  • goal Shilow Tracey 65'
  • yellowcard Zac Williams 79'
  • yellowcard Harvey Davies 82'
  • yellowcard Matus Holicek 87'