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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Gillingham |
| 36.44% ( | 26.09% ( | 37.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.42% ( | 50.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.51% ( | 72.49% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( | 26.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.83% ( | 62.17% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.72% ( | 26.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.6% ( | 61.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 9.28% ( 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 3-1 @ 3.57% ( 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 4-1 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 3.11% Total : 36.44% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.46% |