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Salford City
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Swindon Town
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Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Swindon Town

Salford City
2 - 2
Swindon

Ingram (7'), Humbles (90+5')
Watt (15'), Smith (34'), Lund (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hutton (11'), Austin (85' pen.)
Brewitt (12')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Salford City and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.33%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Salford CityDrawSwindon Town
37.01% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)24.07% (0.0019999999999989 0)38.92% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 61.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.78% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)41.22% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.39% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)63.61% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)22.25% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.31% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)55.69% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.29% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.77% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)54.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 37.01%
    Swindon Town 38.92%
    Draw 24.06%
Salford CityDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.12%
2-0 @ 5.35% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 37.01%
1-1 @ 11.01%
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 8.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.33% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.3%
0-3 @ 2.92% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.28%
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 38.92%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Salford City
1-2
Swindon
Watson (4')
Wakeling (26'), Watt (55' og.)
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Swindon
0-0
Salford City
McKirdy (14'), Baudry (15'), Shade (19'), Wakeling (36'), Reed (55'), Darcy (69'), MacDonald (74')
McKirdy (43')
Bolton (58')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Swindon
1-2
Salford City
McKirdy (55')
Shephard (65'), Watson (86')
Kelly (71')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Salford City
0-1
Swindon

Lund (90+5')
Payne (49')
Iandolo (27'), Grant (52'), Reed (80'), Williams (89')
Mar 24, 2020 7.45pm