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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.33%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 37.01% ( | 24.07% ( | 38.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.78% ( | 41.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.39% ( | 63.61% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( | 22.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.31% ( | 55.69% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( | 21.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.77% ( | 54.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 1-0 @ 7.12% 2-0 @ 5.35% ( 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 4-0 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.01% | 1-1 @ 11.01% 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 3-3 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.06% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0-1 @ 7.33% ( 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 1-3 @ 4.39% ( 2-3 @ 3.3% 0-3 @ 2.92% ( 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 2-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 38.92% |