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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Newport County

Swindon
2 - 0
Newport

Kemp (8'), Hepburn-Murphy (82')
Brewitt (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Reading 5-0 Swindon
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Newport
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Swindon Town 2-1 Newport County

 Swindon's home form has been near-perfect this season, with an opening draw against Crewe the only result stopping them from having a 100% record at the County Ground so far. Newport's start has been underwhelming but has shown bright sparks, especially in attack, but their defensive woes may cost them against one of the league's strongest forward lines. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
49.96% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 22.85% (0.0030000000000001 0) 27.19% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 61.05% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.52% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)39.48% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.18% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)61.83% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.99%16.02% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.65% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)45.35% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.69% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)27.31% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)62.76% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 49.96%
    Newport County 27.19%
    Draw 22.84%
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 8.01% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.77% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 49.96%
1-1 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.84%
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 27.19%

How you voted: Swindon vs Newport

Swindon Town
100%
Draw
0.0%
Newport County
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 30
Newport
2-1
Swindon
Norman (54'), Kavanagh (78')
Adeloye (90+1')
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Swindon
1-0
Newport
Jephcott (51')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Swindon
0-1
Newport
Conroy (90' og.)
Lewis (28'), Azaz (90+1')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Newport
1-2
Swindon
Telford (74')
Demetriou (32'), Dolan (62')
Azaz (73' og.), Payne (88')
Gladwin (69'), Reed (82')
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Swindon
1-0
Newport
Lyden (57')
Minturn (19')

Missilou (21'), Hylton (53'), Upson (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport452711795464992
4MK Dons452381479641577
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster45217177166570
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe451913136864470
7BarrowBarrow451814136155668
8Crawley TownCrawley45207187167467
9Bradford CityBradford451812155758-166
10Walsall451811166868065
11Gillingham45189184455-1163
12AFC Wimbledon451614155950962
13Harrogate TownHarrogate451711175867-962
14Notts County45187208985461
15Tranmere RoversTranmere45176226666057
16Morecambe45179196478-1457
17Newport CountyNewport45167226172-1155
18Accrington StanleyAccrington45159215970-1154
19Swindon TownSwindon451411207480-653
20Salford City451311216480-1650
21Grimsby Town451116185772-1549
22Colchester UnitedColchester451111235879-2144
23Sutton UnitedSutton45914225580-2541
RForest Green RoversForest Green45109264378-3539
> League Two Full Table


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