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Dan Kemp
8'
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Tom Brewitt
36'
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Rushian Hepburn-Murphy
82'
Swindon Town vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Swindon Town Goals
Newport County Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 8.01% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.59%
Total : 49.96%
2-2 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.84%
0-1 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 27.19%