EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 5, 2023 at 7pm UK
The New Lawn
Forest Green0 - 1Oxford Utd
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Forest Green Rovers and Oxford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Forest Green 0-3 Bradford
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
31
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Oxford United |
29.46% ( -0.04) | 23.54% ( -0.04) | 46.99% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 60.35% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
