FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Replays

Nov 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The New Lawn

Forest Green
5 - 2
Scarborough Ath

Jenks (5'), McAllister (18' pen.), Robson (30'), Bunker (35'), Omotoye (76')
Dabo (15')

FT(HT: 4-1)

Wiles (41'), Coulson (89')
Weledji (75'), Durose (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Forest Green Rovers and Scarborough Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Tranmere 3-0 Forest Green
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Alfreton 1-3 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 61.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 18.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Scarborough Athletic win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result
Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Scarborough Athletic
61.77% ( 2.41)	19.7% ( -0.64)	18.53% ( -1.77)

Both teams to score 60.51% (

-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.09% (

0.3)

34.91% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.11% (

0.34)

56.89% (

-0.33)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.08% (

0.73)

10.92% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.9% (

1.59)

35.1% (

-1.59)

Scarborough Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.93% (

-1.55)

32.07% (

1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.46% (

-1.8)

68.55% (

1.8)

Score Analysis

Forest Green Rovers 61.77%

Scarborough Athletic 18.53%

Draw 19.7%

Forest Green Rovers	Draw	Scarborough Athletic
2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.37) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.45) 3-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.35) 4-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.15) 5-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.19) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.91% Total : 61.77%	1-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.27% Total : 19.7%	1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.37) 0-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.23) Other @ 3.27% Total : 18.53%