League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The New Lawn
Forest Green0 - 2Barrow
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Forest Green 5-0 Colchester
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Forest Green Rovers 2-1 Barrow
Forest Green were excellent against Colchester last time out, and if they can find a similar performance here, it is likely to be too much for Barrow. It would not be a surprise to see a draw here, or indeed a Barrow win, but we just have a feeling that the hosts will edge this contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Barrow |
33.89% ( -0.54) | 26.01% ( -0.26) | 40.09% ( 0.79) |
| Both teams to score 53.86% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
