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Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Morecambe

Forest Green
1 - 2
Morecambe

Omotoye (84')
Inniss (12'), Brown (23'), Robson (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mellon (26'), Slew (48')
Love (5'), Bedeau (90+4')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawMorecambe
34.26% (0.013999999999996 0.01)27.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)38.07% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.67% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.89% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)57.11% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.01% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)77.98% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)31.41% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)67.78% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.96% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)29.04% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.05% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)64.94% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 34.26%
    Morecambe 38.06%
    Draw 27.67%
Forest Green RoversDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.56%
2-0 @ 6.12% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.36% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.26%
1-1 @ 13.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.12% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 11.27%
1-2 @ 8.08% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 6.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 38.06%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Forest Green
1-2
Morecambe
Wickham (30')
Phillips (44'), Rawson (90+3')
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 35
Forest Green
2-2
Morecambe
Collins (10'), Matt (79')
Stokes (23'), Bernard (38')
Stockton (22'), Mendes Gomes (90+4')
O'Sullivan (38'), Gibson (45+4')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 8
Morecambe
1-2
Forest Green
Leitch-Smith (19')
Lavelle (21'), Hendrie (64'), Wildig (74'), Knight-Percival (87')
Young (79'), Matt (83')
Godwin-Malife (74'), Matt (87')
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm