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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Morecambe |
| 34.26% ( | 27.67% ( | 38.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.89% ( | 57.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.01% ( | 77.98% ( |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.59% ( | 31.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.22% ( | 67.78% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.96% ( | 29.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.05% ( | 64.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% ( 2-1 @ 7.56% 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 3-1 @ 2.92% ( 3-0 @ 2.36% ( 3-2 @ 1.81% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.26% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0-0 @ 9.12% ( 2-2 @ 4.68% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 11.27% 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0-2 @ 6.97% ( 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 1-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 38.06% |