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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Colchester United |
| 29.06% ( | 25.32% ( | 45.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.06% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.68% ( | 49.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.63% ( | 71.36% ( |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% ( | 31.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.66% ( | 67.33% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.37% ( | 21.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.26% ( | 54.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 7.85% ( 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 2-0 @ 4.59% ( 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 3-0 @ 1.79% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.06% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0-2 @ 7.87% ( 1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0-3 @ 4.02% ( 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0-4 @ 1.54% ( 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.61% |