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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Morecambe |
| 45.8% ( | 26.22% ( | 27.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.47% ( | 53.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.95% ( | 75.04% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.67% ( | 23.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.72% ( | 57.27% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% | 34.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.27% | 70.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% 2-1 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 3-0 @ 4.08% ( 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 4-0 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 45.79% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.29% Total : 27.98% |