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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
38.88% ( 0.52) | 26.45% ( 0.2) | 34.66% ( -0.72) |
Both teams to score 52.56% ( -0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.77% ( -0.93) | 52.23% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.06% ( -0.81) | 73.93% ( 0.81) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.74% ( -0.15) | 26.26% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.63% ( -0.2) | 61.37% ( 0.2) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.27% ( -0.89) | 28.72% ( 0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.44% ( -1.13) | 64.55% ( 1.13) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.88% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
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