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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 38.88% ( | 26.45% ( | 34.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.77% ( | 52.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.06% ( | 73.93% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.74% ( | 26.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.63% ( | 61.37% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( | 28.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.44% ( | 64.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 2-0 @ 6.74% ( 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 4-0 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.88% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0-2 @ 5.87% ( 1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0-3 @ 2.44% ( 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 1-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.66% |