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Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Accrington
2 - 1
Forest Green

Andrews (18', 51')
Hills (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Stevens (83')
Welch (51')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Forest Green Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawForest Green Rovers
46.59% (0.0020000000000024 0)25.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)27.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 51.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)51.85% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)73.61% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.76% (0.00099999999999056 0)22.24% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.32% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)55.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)33.41% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0)70.03% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 46.58%
    Forest Green Rovers 27.66%
    Draw 25.74%
Accrington StanleyDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 9.2%
2-0 @ 8.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-0 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 46.58%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 7.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.15% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 6.71%
0-2 @ 4.47%
1-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 27.66%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Accrington
2-1
Forest Green
Presley (44'), Longelo-Mbule (64')
Sep 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Forest Green
2-1
Accrington
Brown (37'), March (81')
Leigh (76')
Mar 17, 2018 3pm
Sep 30, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0


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