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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 46.59% ( | 25.75% ( | 27.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.15% ( | 51.85% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.39% ( | 73.61% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% ( | 22.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.32% ( | 55.68% ( |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.59% ( | 33.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.97% ( | 70.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 4.21% 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.58% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 1-2 @ 6.71% 0-2 @ 4.47% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 27.66% |