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Championship header 2

League Two

MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Barrow

MK Dons
2 - 2
Barrow

Dean (12', 35')
Robson (6'), Norman (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Whitfield (90+3'), Acauah (90+5')
Wild (7'), Farman (13'), Gotts (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 2-1 MK Dons
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Barrow

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 3-1 Barrow
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawBarrow
39.17% (0.227 0.23)26.49% (0.065999999999999 0.07)34.34% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)
Both teams to score 52.38% (-0.262 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.56% (-0.313 -0.31)52.43% (0.311 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89% (-0.268 -0.27)74.11% (0.265 0.27)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)26.2% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)61.29% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.97% (-0.33799999999999 -0.34)29.03% (0.337 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.07% (-0.418 -0.42)64.93% (0.41600000000001 0.42)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 39.16%
    Barrow 34.34%
    Draw 26.48%
MK DonsDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 10.18% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 39.16%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.094 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 9.41% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.82% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.34%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Barrow

MK Dons
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Barrow
33.3%
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