League Two

League Two | Gameweek 11

Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
2 - 1
Barrow

Rose (37'), Wilson (75')
Conteh (32')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Foley (79')
Chester (45+3')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Barrow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barrow

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Barrow 3-2 Doncaster
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Barrow
41.21% ( -1.12)	27.93% ( 0.36)	30.86% ( 0.76)

Both teams to score 47.06% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.27% (

-1.05)

58.73% (

1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.74% (

-0.82)

79.26% (

0.83)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.98% (

-1.1)

28.03% (

1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.33% (

-1.42)

63.67% (

1.43)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.39% (

0.01)

34.61% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.66% (

0.01)

71.34% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 41.2%

Barrow 30.86%

Draw 27.93%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Barrow
1-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.78% Total : 41.2%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.93%	0-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.22% Total : 30.86%