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Championship header 2

League Two

Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
MK Dons

Gillingham
2 - 1
MK Dons

Bonne (26'), Malone (55')
Malone (35'), Turner (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Harrison (82')
Williams (58'), Harvie (62'), Dean (81'), Stewart (90')
Harvie (90+2')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crewe 2-0 Gillingham
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two

MK Dons

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Walsall 0-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawMK Dons
37.55% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)26.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)35.81% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.07% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.09% (0.021999999999998 0.02)52.9% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.49% (0.02 0.02)74.51% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)27.32% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (0.010999999999996 0.01)62.78% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (0.019000000000005 0.02)28.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.91% (0.021999999999998 0.02)64.09% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 37.55%
    MK Dons 35.81%
    Draw 26.63%
GillinghamDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 8.22%
2-0 @ 6.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 37.55%
1-1 @ 12.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 7.99% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 35.81%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
MK Dons
0-0
Gillingham
Harvie (24')
McKenzie (16'), Carayol (45'), Ehmer (61'), Phillips (87')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Gillingham
1-4
MK Dons
Oliver (20')
O'Keefe (22'), Tucker (68')
O'Keefe (26')
Twine (28'), Kioso (39'), Ehmer (82' og.), Watters (88')
Robson (24'), Kioso (65')
Mar 2, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 33
Gillingham
3-2
MK Dons
Graham (28' pen.), Oliver (44'), Ogilvie (74')
O'Keefe (38')
Grigg (4'), O'Hora (45+6')
Oct 17, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 6
MK Dons
2-0
Gillingham
Jerome (19'), Morris (47')
Thompson (33'), Williams (56'), Kasumu (84')

Robertson (56')
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 39
MK Dons
P-P
Gillingham