Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Scarborough Athletic
46.76% ( -0.36)	24.98% ( 0.16)	28.26% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 54.63% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.68% (

-0.57)

48.32% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.54% (

-0.53)

70.46% (

0.53)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.3% (

-0.39)

20.7% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.7% (

-0.61)

53.3% (

0.61)

Scarborough Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.9% (

-0.15)

31.1% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.57% (

-0.18)

67.43% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 46.76%

Scarborough Athletic 28.26%

Draw 24.97%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Scarborough Athletic
1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.66% Total : 46.76%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.97%	0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.26%