National League North Gameweek 15
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • Jordan Thewlis 3' goal
  • Jake Day 7' goal

Alfreton Town vs Farsley Celtic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Alfreton 3 - 1 Hereford
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Jordan Thewlis

Farsley Celtic

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Warrington Town 1 - 1 Farsley Celtic
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Ben Atkinson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 22.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result

Alfreton Town 53.57% (-0.02)
Draw 23.76% (+0.01)
Farsley Celtic 22.66% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.09% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.23% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 47.77% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 30.04% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 69.96% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 14.69% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 85.3% (+0.02)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 82.24% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 17.76% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 51.55% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 48.45% (+0.03)

Farsley Celtic Goals

Over 0.5 64.55% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 35.44% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 27.79% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 72.2% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 53.56%
Draw 23.76%
Farsley Celtic 22.66%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 10.87%
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.4%
3-1 @ 5.62% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.34% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 53.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.28% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.29% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.76%
Farsley Celtic
0-1 @ 6.53% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.85% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.39% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 22.66%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 27
Jan 7, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • Dwayne Riley 83' goal
National League North Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Throstle Nest
National League North Gameweek 31
Mar 12, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 7
Sep 25, 2021 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Conor Branson 36'
  • goal Dayle Southwell 69'
  • goal Dayle Southwell 89'
National League North Gameweek 30
Mar 27, 2021 3.00pm
National League North Gameweek 8
Nov 14, 2020 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • James Jones 16' goal
  • Elliott Reeves 23' goal
  • Jake Day 45' goal
  • goal Adam Clayton 18'