Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Warrington Town had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Warrington Town win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Warrington Town
37.54% ( -0.44)	25.99% ( 0.21)	36.47% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 54.27% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.88% (

-0.92)

50.12% (

0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.91% (

-0.82)

72.09% (

0.82)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.97% (

-0.67)

26.02% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.94% (

-0.9)

61.05% (

0.9)

Warrington Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.36% (

-0.3)

26.63% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.13% (

-0.4)

61.87% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 37.54%

Warrington Town 36.47%

Draw 25.99%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Warrington Town
1-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.54%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 36.47%