Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 20.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that King's Lynn Town would win this match.