National League North Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mariners Park
  • Aaron Martin 54' goal
  • Jed Abbey 64' goal
  • Jed Abbey 90'+3' goal
  • goal Shaun Brisley 63'
  • redcard D. Wiley 90'+1'

South Shields vs Alfreton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

South Shields

All competitions
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Paul Blackett

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
May 2, 2023 7.45pm
Alfreton 0 - 1 Kidderminster
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Jordan Thewlis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Shields win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Shields would win this match.

Result

South Shields 40.31% (+0.67)
Draw 26.13% (-0.24)
Alfreton Town 33.56% (-0.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.39% (+0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.92% (+0.89)
Under 2.5 51.07% (-0.88)
Over 3.5 27.07% (+0.77)
Under 3.5 72.93% (-0.77)
Over 4.5 12.69% (+0.50)
Under 4.5 87.3% (-0.51)

South Shields Goals

Over 0.5 75.04% (+0.76)
Under 0.5 24.96% (-0.76)
Over 1.5 40.39% (+1.04)
Under 1.5 59.6% (-1.04)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.15% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 28.85% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 35.28% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 64.72% (-0.20)

Score analysis

South Shields 40.31%
Draw 26.13%
Alfreton Town 33.56%
South Shields
1-0 @ 10% (-0.14)
2-1 @ 8.62% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 6.94% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.99% (+0.14)
3-0 @ 3.21% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.48% (+0.10)
4-1 @ 1.38% (+0.08)
4-0 @ 1.11% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 40.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.11)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.26)
2-2 @ 5.36% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-97.38)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.13%
Alfreton Town
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.28)
1-2 @ 7.72% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.56% (-0.16)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.22% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 33.56%