Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Shields win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Shields would win this match.

Result
South Shields	Draw	Alfreton Town
40.31% ( 0.66)	26.13% ( -0.23)	33.56% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 53.39% (

0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.92% (

0.88)

51.07% (

-0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.07% (

0.77)

72.93% (

-0.77)

South Shields Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.04% (

0.75)

24.96% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.39% (

1.04)

59.6% (

-1.04)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.15% (

0.16)

28.85% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.28% (

0.19)

64.72% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

South Shields 40.31%

Alfreton Town 33.56%

Draw 26.13%

South Shields	Draw	Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 10% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.58% Total : 40.31%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13%	0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.56%