National League North | Gameweek 45

Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Impact Arena

Alfreton
1 - 0
Blyth Spartans

Rhead (53' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Blyth Spartans.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Banbury 1-1 Alfreton
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Blyth Spartans

All competitions

Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-2 Blyth Spartans
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Blyth Spartans
47.79% ( 1.05)	24.36% ( -0.16)	27.85% ( -0.9)

Both teams to score 56.38% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.12% (

0.11)

45.88% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.81% (

0.11)

68.19% (

-0.11)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.71% (

0.48)

19.29% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.96% (

0.79)

51.03% (

-0.79)

Blyth Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.86% (

-0.59)

30.14% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.71% (

-0.72)

66.29% (

0.72)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 47.79%

Blyth Spartans 27.85%

Draw 24.35%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Blyth Spartans
1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.12% Total : 47.79%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.35%	0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.13% Total : 27.85%