Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.