National League North | Gameweek 41

Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Impact Arena

Alfreton
2 - 0
Leamington

Hobson (56'), Rhead (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Leamington FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Alfreton 3-2 Spennymoor
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Leamington FC

All competitions

Last Game: Leamington 0-2 Boston
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Leamington FC had a probability of 24.67%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Leamington FC win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Leamington FC
50.34% ( 0.01)	24.99% ( -0.03)	24.67% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.53% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.06% (

0.16)

50.94% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.19% (

0.14)

72.81% (

-0.14)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.75% (

0.07)

20.24% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.42% (

0.11)

52.57% (

-0.11)

Leamington FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.61% (

0.11)

35.39% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.85% (

0.11)

72.14% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 50.34%

Leamington FC 24.67%

Draw 24.98%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Leamington FC
1-0 @ 11.44% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 50.34%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.98%	0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 2% Total : 24.67%