National League North | Gameweek 29
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Haig Avenue
Alfreton Town

Southport
0 - 0
Alfreton

FT
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southport 0-0 Kettering
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 0-1 Fylde
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 47.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
SouthportDrawAlfreton Town
47.93% (-1.098 -1.1)26.74% (0.681 0.68)25.33% (0.42 0.42)
Both teams to score 47.07% (-1.543 -1.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.93% (-2.195 -2.2)57.07% (2.199 2.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.04% (-1.784 -1.78)77.96% (1.789 1.79)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (-1.437 -1.44)23.86% (1.44 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.95% (-2.107 -2.11)58.05% (2.111 2.11)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.82% (-0.84 -0.84)38.18% (0.845 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.06% (-0.821 -0.82)74.94% (0.82499999999999 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Southport 47.93%
    Alfreton Town 25.33%
    Draw 26.73%
SouthportDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 13.05% (0.54 0.54)
2-0 @ 9.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-0 @ 4.47% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.294 -0.29)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.193 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.54% (-0.177 -0.18)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 47.93%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 9.11% (0.739 0.74)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.206 -0.21)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 8.77% (0.525 0.53)
1-2 @ 6.05% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.22% (0.161 0.16)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 25.33%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Alfreton
4-0
Southport
Hobson (32'), Southwell (40', 67'), Preston (45+1')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Alfreton
2-2
Southport
Rhead (50'), Southwell (64')
Vassallo (24'), Munro (29')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Southport
2-0
Alfreton
Woods (23', 55')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Dec 5, 2020 3pm