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National League North | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands

Buxton
1 - 0
Southport

FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leamington 0-1 Buxton
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-0 Southport
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Southport had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Buxton in this match.

Result
BuxtonDrawSouthport
43.39% (-0.622 -0.62) 26.77% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 29.83% (0.535 0.54)
Both teams to score 50% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.21% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)54.78% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.91% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)76.09% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-0.355 -0.36)25.04% (0.352 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28% (-0.493 -0.49)59.72% (0.49 0.49)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.71% (0.351 0.35)33.29% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.09% (0.385 0.38)69.91% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 43.39%
    Southport 29.84%
    Draw 26.76%
BuxtonDrawSouthport
1-0 @ 11.54% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.06% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 43.39%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.34% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 9.17% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.088 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.114 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 29.84%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Southport
1-4
Buxton
Watson (90+1')
Kirby (45+3'), De Girolamo (62'), Osborne (74'), Gilchrist (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton20133429111842
2Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe21107435152037
3Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster20114531161537
4King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn2111462619737
5Buxton21112834241035
6Chorley2110563025535
7Alfreton TownAlfreton209742519634
8Hereford UnitedHereford2096530191133
9Brackley Town1910362316733
10Chester FCChester209562521432
11South Shields22102103735232
12Spennymoor TownSpennymoor217953124730
13Darlington217952521430
14Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath207762423128
15Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports217682528-327
16SouthportSouthport217682531-627
17Leamington FCLeamington206592322123
18Oxford CityOxford City215793138-722
19Warrington Town224992029-921
20Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic2162132138-1720
21Marine AFC2146111226-1418
22RadcliffeRadcliffe2046102339-1618
23Needham Market2145121434-2017
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