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National League North | Gameweek 20
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Throstle Nest

Farsley Celtic
2 - 1
Buxton

Scales (34'), Spencer (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Osborne (64')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Farsley Celtic and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hereford 2-0 Farsley Celtic
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 0-1 Hereford
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Farsley CelticDrawBuxton
35.68% (0.029000000000003 0.03) 24.3% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 40.02% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.17% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.52% (0.068000000000005 0.07)42.48% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.11% (0.068999999999996 0.07)64.88% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.47% (0.048000000000002 0.05)23.52% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.43% (0.07 0.07)57.56% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68% (0.019999999999996 0.02)21.31% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.73% (0.033999999999999 0.03)54.26% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Farsley Celtic 35.68%
    Buxton 40.02%
    Draw 24.3%
Farsley CelticDrawBuxton
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 35.68%
1-1 @ 11.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.27% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 40.02%

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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton20133429111842
2Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe21107435152037
3Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster20114531161537
4King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn2111462619737
5Buxton21112834241035
6Chorley2110563025535
7Alfreton TownAlfreton209742519634
8Hereford UnitedHereford2096530191133
9Brackley Town1910362316733
10Chester FCChester209562521432
11South Shields22102103735232
12Spennymoor TownSpennymoor217953124730
13Darlington217952521430
14Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath207762423128
15Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports217682528-327
16SouthportSouthport217682531-627
17Leamington FCLeamington206592322123
18Oxford CityOxford City215793138-722
19Warrington Town224992029-921
20Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic2162132138-1720
21Marine AFC2146111226-1418
22RadcliffeRadcliffe2046102339-1618
23Needham Market2145121434-2017
24Rushall Olympic2133151844-2612


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