National League North | Gameweek 17
Jan 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Silverlands
Chorley

Buxton
2 - 2
Chorley

Jackson (49'), Simms (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Smith (30'), Hall (61' pen.)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 2-1 Buxton
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Darlington 0-3 Chorley
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
BuxtonDrawChorley
45.94% (-1.286 -1.29)25.98% (0.079999999999998 0.08)28.08% (1.211 1.21)
Both teams to score 51.35% (0.633 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.45% (0.406 0.41)52.55% (-0.4 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.79% (0.346 0.35)74.21% (-0.339 -0.34)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.17% (-0.416 -0.42)22.84% (0.422 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (-0.621 -0.62)56.56% (0.627 0.63)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55% (1.178 1.18)33.45% (-1.173 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.91% (1.267 1.27)70.09% (-1.261 -1.26)
Score Analysis
    Buxton 45.94%
    Chorley 28.08%
    Draw 25.98%
BuxtonDrawChorley
1-0 @ 11.28% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.33% (-0.347 -0.35)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 45.94%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.64% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.98%
0-1 @ 8.37% (0.134 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.236 0.24)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.215 0.22)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.161 0.16)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.097 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 28.08%

rhs 2.0


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