Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
AFC Fylde

Chorley
0 - 1
Fylde

FT(HT: 0-0)
Whitmore (90+2')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Fylde.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fylde 1-2 Chorley
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 1-2 Chorley
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 59.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Fylde had a probability of 17.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Fylde win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
ChorleyDrawFylde
59.38% (0.309 0.31)23.34% (-0.11 -0.11)17.28% (-0.198 -0.2)
Both teams to score 46.05% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.14% (0.129 0.13)52.85% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.53% (0.109 0.11)74.47% (-0.10799999999999 -0.11)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.5% (0.15900000000001 0.16)17.5% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52% (0.275 0.27)48% (-0.275 -0.27)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.82% (-0.17 -0.17)44.18% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.73% (-0.142 -0.14)80.27% (0.14200000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 59.38%
    Fylde 17.28%
    Draw 23.33%
ChorleyDrawFylde
1-0 @ 13.47%
2-0 @ 11.74% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.82% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.57% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.97% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 59.38%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.73% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.5% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.58% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 17.28%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Fylde
1-2
Chorley
Hall (7'), Ustabasi (84')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Chorley
2-2
Fylde
Ustabasi (59'), Calveley (90+5')
Haughton (3', 16')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Fylde
4-0
Chorley
Tollitt (42', 74', 87' pen.), Philliskirk (67')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Chorley
3-1
Fylde
Hall (5'), Owens (58'), Smith (61')
Garratt (90+1')
Tollitt (17')
rhs 2.0


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