Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 78.7%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Kettering Town had a probability of 7.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.43%) and 1-0 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%), while for a Kettering Town win it was 0-1 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chorley in this match.

Result
Chorley	Draw	Kettering Town
78.7% ( -0.28)	14.17% ( 0.27)	7.14% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 43.23% (

-0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.46% (

-1.26)

38.54% (

1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.16% (

-1.35)

60.84% (

1.35)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.11% (

-0.34)

7.88% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.08% (

-0.89)

27.91% (

0.89)

Kettering Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.93% (

-0.84)

53.07% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.31% (

-0.54)

86.69% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

Chorley 78.69%

Kettering Town 7.14%

Draw 14.17%

Chorley	Draw	Kettering Town
2-0 @ 13.5% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.09) 6-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.15% Total : 78.69%	1-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.54% Total : 14.17%	0-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 7.14%