Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Kettering Town had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Kettering Town win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.