National League North | Gameweek 18
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Latimer Park

Kettering
2 - 0
Hereford

Stohrer (31'), Lewthwaite (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Kettering Town and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kettering Town

All competitions
Last Game: Brackley Town 3-0 Kettering
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League North

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-3 Portsmouth
Friday, November 4 at 7.55pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Kettering Town had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Kettering Town win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Kettering TownDrawHereford United
32.08% (0.078000000000003 0.08)25.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)42.28% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Both teams to score 54.56% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.64% (0.052999999999997 0.05)49.36% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.59% (0.047000000000001 0.05)71.4% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Kettering Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.076999999999998 0.08)28.96% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (0.097000000000001 0.1)64.85% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.8% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)23.2% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.9% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)57.1% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Kettering Town 32.09%
    Hereford United 42.28%
    Draw 25.63%
Kettering TownDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 8.33%
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.16% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.11% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 32.09%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.17% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 42.28%

Head to Head
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Kettering
1-1
Hereford
Sharpe (29')
Storey (25')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Hereford
3-0
Kettering
Owen-Evans (26', 54'), Gordon (48')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Kettering
0-0
Hereford
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Hereford
3-3
Kettering
Mooney (34'), Hodgkiss (57'), John-Lewis (81' pen.)
Kelly (47'), Powell (54'), Sheriff (62')
McGrath (71')
Mar 10, 2020 7.45pm
Kettering
0-0
Hereford