National League North | Gameweek 22

Dec 6, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
1 - 1
Chorley

Rus (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (90+3')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions

National League North

Last Game: King's Lynn 2-1 Hereford
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League North

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chorley

All competitions

Last Game: Chorley 3-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Hereford United	Draw	Chorley
39.19% ( -0.01)	26.32% ( -0.02)	34.49% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 52.96% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.29% (

0.07)

51.71% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.52% (

0.06)

73.48% (

-0.06)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.15% (

0.03)

25.85% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.18% (

0.03)

60.82% (

-0.03)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.42% (

0.06)

28.58% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.62% (

0.07)

64.38% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Hereford United 39.19%

Chorley 34.49%

Draw 26.31%

Hereford United	Draw	Chorley
1-0 @ 10% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 39.19%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 34.49%