National League North | Gameweek 22
Dec 6, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
Chorley

Hereford
1 - 1
Chorley

Rus (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Smith (90+3')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: P'boro Sports 0-0 Hereford
Saturday, April 25 at 3pm in National League North
Next Game: Hereford vs. Kidderminster
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Chorley 4-2 Hereford
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in National League North
Next Game: Fylde vs. Chorley
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawChorley
39.19% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)26.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)34.49% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.96% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.29% (0.072000000000003 0.07)51.71% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.52% (0.064 0.06)73.48% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15% (0.028000000000006 0.03)25.85% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.18% (0.033000000000001 0.03)60.82% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (0.058999999999997 0.06)28.58% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62% (0.071999999999996 0.07)64.38% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 39.19%
    Chorley 34.49%
    Draw 26.31%
Hereford UnitedDrawChorley
1-0 @ 10% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.47%
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 39.19%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.49%

How you voted: Hereford vs Chorley

Hereford United
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Chorley
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
gameweek 24
Chorley
3-2
Hereford
Blakeman (58'), Holmes (65'), Hall (70')
Gordon (14'), Storey (89')
Nov 6, 2021 3.15pm
gameweek 13
Hereford
1-0
Chorley
Storey (81')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
gameweek 31
Chorley
0-0
Hereford
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
gameweek 10
Hereford
2-2
Chorley
Hodgkiss (59'), John-Lewis (88')
Reily (84'), Halls (87')