National League North Gameweek 22
Dec 6, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Marco Rus 62' goal
  • goal Harvey Smith 90'+3'

Hereford United vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
King's Lynn 2 - 1 Hereford
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Tyrone Barnett

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Dec 3, 2022 3.00pm
Chorley 3 - 0 Curzon Ashton
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Connor Hall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result

Hereford United 39.19% (-0.02)
Draw 26.32% (-0.02)
Chorley 34.49% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.96% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.29% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 51.71% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 26.52% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 73.48% (-0.06)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 74.15% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 25.85% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 39.18% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 60.82% (-0.03)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 71.42% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 28.58% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 35.62% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 64.38% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Hereford United 39.19%
Draw 26.31%
Chorley 34.49%
Hereford United
1-0 @ 10% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.47%
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.82% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 39.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.39% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 26.31%
Chorley
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.84% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.79% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.27% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.42% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.49%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 24
Jan 29, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Adam Blakeman 58' goal
  • Brad Holmes 65' goal
  • Connor Hall 70' goal
  • goal Jaanai Gordon 14'
  • goal Miles Storey 89'
National League North Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2021 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Miles Storey 81' goal
National League North Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2021 3.00pm
National League North Gameweek 10
Nov 21, 2020 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jared Hodgkiss 59' goal
  • Lenell John-Lewis 88' goal
  • goal Lewis Reily 84'
  • goal Andy Halls 87'