Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hereford United in this match.