Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hereford United in this match.

Result
AFC Telford United	Draw	Hereford United
26.11% ( -0.99)	24.73% ( -0.23)	49.16% ( 1.22)

Both teams to score 53.71% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.26% (

0.25)

48.74% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.16% (

0.23)

70.84% (

-0.22)

AFC Telford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.02% (

-0.65)

32.99% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.43% (

-0.73)

69.57% (

0.74)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.14% (

0.61)

19.86% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.04% (

0.98)

51.96% (

-0.97)

Score Analysis

AFC Telford United 26.11%

Hereford United 49.15%

Draw 24.73%

AFC Telford United	Draw	Hereford United
1-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.46% Total : 26.11%	1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.73%	0-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 49.15%