Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
AFC Telford United	Draw	Alfreton Town
30.75% ( -0)	26.35% ( -0)	42.9% ( 0)

Both teams to score 51.71% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.21% (

52.78% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.59% (

74.41% (

-0)

AFC Telford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.4% (

31.6% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.99%

68%

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.6% (

24.4% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.18% (

0.01)

58.81% (

-0)

Score Analysis

AFC Telford United 30.75%

Alfreton Town 42.9%

Draw 26.34%

AFC Telford United	Draw	Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 8.88% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.22% 2-0 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.96% Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.75%	1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.34%	0-1 @ 10.87% 1-2 @ 8.84% 0-2 @ 7.67% 1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.63% Total : 42.9%