National League North Gameweek 11
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • Fraser Preston 37' goal
  • Matt Rhead 90'+4' goal
  • goal Ryan Fryatt 57'
  • goal Dan Lawler 87'

Alfreton Town vs Peterborough Sports - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 24, 2022 3.00pm
Alfreton 1 - 0 Brackley Town
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Matt Rhead

Peterborough Sports

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Sep 24, 2022 3.00pm
Darlington 2 - 0 P'boro Sports
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Jordan Nicholson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Alfreton Town 39.21% (+2.73)
Draw 25.89% (+0.58)
Peterborough Sports 34.9% (-3.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.44% (-2.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.16% (-2.71)
Under 2.5 49.84% (+2.71)
Over 3.5 28.16% (-2.47)
Under 3.5 71.84% (+2.47)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 75.01% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 24.99% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 40.36% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 59.64% (-0.34)

Peterborough Sports Goals

Over 0.5 72.57% (-3.13)
Under 0.5 27.43% (+3.14)
Over 1.5 37.09% (-4.24)
Under 1.5 62.91% (+4.24)

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 39.21%
Draw 25.89%
Peterborough Sports 34.9%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 9.5% (+1.07)
2-1 @ 8.53% (+0.31)
2-0 @ 6.59% (+0.78)
3-1 @ 3.94% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 3.05% (+0.38)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.13)
4-1 @ 1.37% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-90.85)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 39.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.29% (+0.35)
0-0 @ 6.85% (+0.73)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.31)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
Peterborough Sports
0-1 @ 8.87% (+0.20)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.50)
0-2 @ 5.73% (-0.41)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.56)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.43)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.37)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.31)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 34.9%