National League North | Gameweek 15

Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The Impact Arena

Alfreton
2 - 0
Scarborough Ath

Smith (53'), Cantrill (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Scarborough Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Blyth Spartans 2-2 Alfreton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-0 Telford
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	Scarborough Athletic
44.39% ( 0.31)	24.95% ( -0.07)	30.65% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 56.19% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.05% (

0.21)

46.95% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.8% (

0.2)

69.2% (

-0.2)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.82% (

0.23)

21.18% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.94% (

0.35)

54.06% (

-0.35)

Scarborough Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29% (

-0.05)

28.71% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.46% (

-0.06)

64.54% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 44.4%

Scarborough Athletic 30.65%

Draw 24.94%

Alfreton Town	Draw	Scarborough Athletic
1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 44.4%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.94%	0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 30.65%