National League North Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Impact Arena
  • Dominic Smith 53' goal
  • George Cantrill 60' goal

Alfreton Town vs Scarborough Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
Blyth Spartans 2 - 2 Alfreton
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Matt Rhead

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
Scarborough Ath 1 - 0 Telford
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Michael Coulson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.

Result

Alfreton Town 44.39% (+0.31)
Draw 24.95% (-0.08)
Scarborough Athletic 30.65% (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.19% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.05% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 46.95% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 30.8% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 69.2% (-0.20)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 78.82% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 21.18% (-0.23)
Over 1.5 45.94% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 54.06% (-0.36)

Scarborough Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 71.29% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 28.71% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 35.46% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 64.54% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 44.4%
Draw 24.94%
Scarborough Athletic 30.65%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 9.44% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.14% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.33% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.73% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.79% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.95% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.84% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.47% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.15% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 44.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.7% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.94%
Scarborough Athletic
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.74% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.37% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 30.65%