Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.