Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.