National League North
Gameweek
21
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-
Connor Hall
38'
-
Mike Calveley
62'
-
Ollie Shenton
66'
Chorley vs Curzon Ashton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 70.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 11.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
Result
Chorley
70.36%
▼
(-0.37)
Draw
18.45%
▲
(+0.27)
Curzon Ashton
11.18%
▲
(+0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
45.51%
▼
(-0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.9%
▼
(-0.88)
Under 2.5
45.09%
▲
(+0.88)
Over 3.5
32.55%
▼
(-0.85)
Under 3.5
67.44%
▲
(+0.85)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5
88.41%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 0.5
11.59%
▲
(+0.35)
Over 1.5
63.44%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 1.5
36.56%
▲
(+0.74)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5
51.47%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 0.5
48.52%
▲
(+0.37)
Over 1.5
16.39%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 1.5
83.61%
▲
(+0.27)
Score analysis
Chorley
70.34%
Draw
18.45%
Curzon Ashton
11.19%
Chorley
2-0
@
13.05%
▲
(+0.14)
1-0 @ 12.11% ▲ (+0.28)
2-1 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.79% ▼ (-0.10)
4-0 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.08)
5-1 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 70.34%
1-0 @ 12.11% ▲ (+0.28)
2-1 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.79% ▼ (-0.10)
4-0 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.08)
5-1 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 70.34%
Draw
1-1
@
8.76%
▲
(+0.12)
0-0 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.21)
2-2 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.45%
0-0 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.21)
2-2 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.45%
Curzon Ashton
0-1
@
4.07%
▲
(+0.11)
1-2 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 11.19%
1-2 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 11.19%
Head to Head
National League North
Gameweek
38
-
Tom Peers
15'
National League North
Gameweek
19
-
Harry Cardwell
22'
-
Harry Cardwell
39'
-
Harvey Smith
72'
-
Jonathan Ustabasi
85'
-
Jack Dunn
33'
-
Alex Curran
46'
-
Tom Peers
60'
National League North
Gameweek
34
National League North
Gameweek
12
-
Mike Calveley
58'
-
Mike Calveley
85'
-
Craig Mahon
14'