National League North Gameweek 20
Nov 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Edgar Street Athletic Ground
  • Jack Evans 11' goal
  • goal Ben Liddle 45'+3'
  • goal Jack Lambert 53'

Hereford United vs Darlington - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Nov 15, 2022 7.45pm
Hereford 0 - 1 P'boro Sports
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Tyrone Barnett

Darlington

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
Darlington 1 - 2 Fylde
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Jacob Hazel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.

Result

Hereford United 35.54% (+0.12)
Draw 27.09% (+0.26)
Darlington 37.37% (-0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.6% (-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.25% (-1.02)
Under 2.5 54.75% (+1.02)
Over 3.5 23.94% (-0.86)
Under 3.5 76.06% (+0.85)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5 70.59% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 29.41% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 34.59% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 65.41% (+0.53)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5 71.69% (-0.71)
Under 0.5 28.31% (+0.71)
Over 1.5 35.97% (-0.90)
Under 1.5 64.03% (+0.90)

Score analysis

Hereford United 35.53%
Draw 27.08%
Darlington 37.36%
Hereford United
1-0 @ 10.18% (+0.27)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.23% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 2.54% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.08)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 35.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.85% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 8.33% (+0.33)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.08%
Darlington
0-1 @ 10.5% (+0.20)
1-2 @ 8.11% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 6.63% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.41% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 2.79% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.10)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 37.36%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 32
Mar 19, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mo Faal 5' goal
  • goal Jack Lambert 71'
National League North Gameweek 8
Oct 9, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luke Charman 8' goal
National League North Gameweek 11
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
National League North Gameweek 32
Apr 5, 2021 3.00pm
League Two
Apr 5, 2010 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Jake Jervis 20'
  • goal Marc Pugh 74'
League Two
Oct 31, 2009 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Keith Lowe 41' goal
  • Darren Jones 47' goal
  • goal James Collins 72'