Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.

Result
Hereford United	Draw	Darlington
35.54% ( 0.11)	27.09% ( 0.25)	37.37% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 50.6% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.25% (

-1.02)

54.75% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.94% (

-0.85)

76.06% (

0.85)

Hereford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.59% (

-0.43)

29.41% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.59% (

-0.53)

65.41% (

0.52)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.69% (

-0.7)

28.31% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.97% (

-0.9)

64.03% (

0.89)

Score Analysis

Hereford United 35.53%

Darlington 37.36%

Draw 27.08%

Hereford United	Draw	Darlington
1-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.53%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.08%	0-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.75% Total : 37.36%