Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.

Result
Darlington	Draw	Alfreton Town
42.32% ( 0.04)	26.39% ( -0.01)	31.29% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 51.81% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.23% (

0.02)

52.76% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.61% (

0.02)

74.39% (

-0.02)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.31% (

0.03)

24.68% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.78% (

0.05)

59.21% (

-0.05)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.79% (

-0.02)

31.21% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.45% (

-0.02)

67.55% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Darlington 42.31%

Alfreton Town 31.29%

Draw 26.39%

Darlington	Draw	Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.31%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.39%	0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.29%