National League North | Gameweek 18
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Blackwell Meadows
Darlington3 - 1Alfreton
Coverage of the National League North clash between Darlington and Alfreton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-2 Darlington
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 1-0 Alfreton
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Alfreton Town |
42.32% ( 0.04) | 26.39% ( -0.01) | 31.29% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.81% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
