National League North Gameweek 18
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Blackwell Meadows
  • Joe Leesley 22' goal
  • Jacob Hazel 25' goal
  • Kaine Felix 90'+12' goal
  • goal Jake Lawlor 85' (OG)

Darlington vs Alfreton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Darlington

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
Kidderminster 1 - 2 Darlington
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Jacob Hazel

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Boston 1 - 0 Alfreton
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Matt Rhead

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.

Result

Darlington 42.32% (+0.05)
Draw 26.39% (-0.02)
Alfreton Town 31.29% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.81% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.23% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 52.76% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 25.61% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 74.39% (-0.03)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5 75.31% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 24.68% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 40.78% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 59.21% (-0.05)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 68.79% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.21% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 32.45% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 67.55% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Darlington 42.31%
Draw 26.39%
Alfreton Town 31.29%
Darlington
1-0 @ 10.77%
2-1 @ 8.78% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.52% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.43% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.23% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 42.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 26.39%
Alfreton Town
0-1 @ 8.97% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.22% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 31.29%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 36
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League North Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2021 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Will Hatfield 59' goal
  • Will Hatfield 84' goal
  • goal Adam Lund 27'
  • goal Tom Allan 36'
  • goal Dayle Southwell 52'
National League North Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2021 3.00pm
National League North Gameweek 10
Nov 21, 2020 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Erico Sousa 11'
  • goal Adam Campbell 83'