Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Boston United win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.