Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.