National League North | Gameweek 16
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Jakemans Stadium

Boston
2 - 3
Chester

Gyamfi (71'), McLintock (87')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Willoughby (8'), Dudley (17'), Weeks (44')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Boston United and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Boston
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 1-1 Gloucester City
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Boston UnitedDrawChester FC
40.06% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)24.5% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)35.44% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Both teams to score 59.4% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.53% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)43.47% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.13% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)65.87% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)21.73% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.1% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)54.89% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88% (0.015999999999991 0.02)24.11% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.59% (0.024999999999999 0.02)58.41% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Boston United 40.06%
    Chester FC 35.44%
    Draw 24.5%
Boston UnitedDrawChester FC
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 40.06%
1-1 @ 11.37%
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.24% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.5%
1-2 @ 8.09% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.45% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.3% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.84% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.93%
0-3 @ 2.51% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 35.44%

Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Boston
4-0
Chester
Shiels (15'), Preston (18', 33'), Elliott (53' pen.)
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Chester
4-0
Boston
Redshaw (18'), Williams (71'), Jolley (79'), Stephenson (86')

Duxbury (57'), Elliott (70')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0


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