Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.