National League North | Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
1 - 1
Gloucester City

Murray (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Phillips (45+1')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Gloucester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chester 4-0 Kettering
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 5-1 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 23.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Chester FCDrawGloucester City
50.95% (6.627 6.63)25.17% (-1.143 -1.14)23.87% (-5.489 -5.49)
Both teams to score 50.17% (-0.95 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.67% (0.891 0.89)52.33% (-0.897 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.97% (0.76 0.76)74.02% (-0.765 -0.77)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (3.346 3.35)20.54% (-3.351 -3.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.94% (5.039 5.04)53.06% (-5.044 -5.04)
Gloucester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.14% (-4.027 -4.03)36.85% (4.024 4.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.35% (-4.247 -4.25)73.64% (4.241 4.24)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 50.94%
    Gloucester City 23.87%
    Draw 25.17%
Chester FCDrawGloucester City
1-0 @ 11.98% (0.76 0.76)
2-0 @ 9.48% (1.444 1.44)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.512 0.51)
3-0 @ 5% (1.167 1.17)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.721 0.72)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.113 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.606 0.61)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.446 0.45)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.135 0.14)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 50.94%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.54 -0.54)
0-0 @ 7.57% (-0.273 -0.27)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.262 -0.26)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-1.18 -1.18)
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.996 -1)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-1.094 -1.09)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.6 -0.6)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.279 -0.28)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.552 -0.55)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 23.87%

Head to Head
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gloucester City
3-3
Chester
Robert (13'), Tomlinson (82'), McClure (90+4')
Dackers (4', 22'), Weeks (18')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Chester
3-2
Gloucester City
Dudley (28' pen.), Grand (87'), Glendon (90+8')
Hulbert (59'), Leadbitter (81')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm