Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.